Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 13.938182 15.981398 18.237427 20.916098 24.013753 27.487949 31.686406
2025-10-12 11.383698 14.079804 17.301561 21.446402 26.654089 33.002158 41.360548
2025-10-19 9.995644 13.052351 16.918491 22.190022 29.226613 38.345715 51.141110
2025-10-26 8.534999 11.639393 15.748864 21.621289 29.854610 41.071303 57.654121
2025-11-02 7.508760 10.630526 14.929017 21.327148 30.690581 44.018435 64.651970
2025-11-09 6.703953 9.811936 14.244091 21.085994 31.491723 46.899912 71.771231
2025-11-16 6.027559 9.090956 13.600348 20.795885 32.130478 49.532234 78.721506
2025-11-23 5.426612 8.412061 12.936047 20.377637 32.484934 51.704700 85.113361
2025-11-30 5.208529 8.294267 13.105534 21.260664 34.960398 57.442200 97.935614
2025-12-07 4.897110 7.993259 12.948939 21.584331 36.526527 61.814060 108.894422
2025-12-14 4.550696 7.599704 12.600077 21.540523 37.443901 65.145418 118.350368
2025-12-21 4.217571 7.196372 12.194659 21.351034 38.069750 67.998987 127.210964
2025-12-28 4.067869 7.098741 12.307768 22.096786 40.469553 74.324041 143.438617
2026-01-04 3.899119 6.951742 12.319655 22.656850 42.578390 80.322824 159.754164
2026-01-11 3.777796 6.877562 12.451439 23.444908 45.187685 87.525607 179.332814
2026-01-18 3.474750 6.442222 11.883363 22.842176 45.015706 89.245588 187.727452
2026-01-25 3.238911 6.113203 11.485373 22.530471 45.385987 92.074911 198.794759
2026-02-01 3.031517 5.821400 11.133315 22.274927 45.838815 95.104666 210.638345
2026-02-08 2.836327 5.537549 10.773005 21.967521 46.147069 97.847121 222.140705
2026-02-15 2.642984 5.242077 10.365750 21.524360 46.116888 99.843651 232.134643
2026-02-22 2.608430 5.264640 10.600263 22.460020 49.190655 109.007358 260.286308
2026-03-01 2.515708 5.159675 10.563438 22.803010 50.967965 115.412736 282.500561
2026-03-08 2.392718 4.981620 10.359236 22.756586 51.846079 119.815743 300.229613